Australia Housing Market Overview 1Q2019: Perth

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<article>
    <h2>30 Years of Buy-to-Let: From Innovation to Evolution</h2>
    <p>Thirty years of buy-to-let mortgages have reshaped the UK rental market. Their launch in late September 1996 addressed a pressing problem. Rental demand was climbing sharply while available stock struggled to keep pace. The barrier? Homeowners couldn't
        legally sublet on residential mortgages, and commercial lending offered only restrictive ten-year terms with punishing interest rates. The sector's investment potential remained largely untapped.</p>
    <p>Then lenders introduced mortgages designed specifically for landlord investors, marking the first time individuals, not just companies, could secure financing based on a property's rental income potential rather than solely their personal financial
        circumstances.
    </p>
    <p>The landscape changed again from 2015 when George Osborne, then chancellor, introduced sweeping changes. The government scaled back individual landlords' ability to deduct mortgage interest from their taxes and over time introduced more punitive levels
        of stamp duty targeting landlords.</p>
    <p>Since buy-to-let mortgages were introduced in 1996, the number of households renting privately across England has risen by more than 150 per cent &ndash; equivalent to an additional 277 private rented homes per day. Higher mortgage rates and affordability
        pressures in the sales market have almost meant that renters are staying in rented homes for longer, exacerbating demand in a sector already under pressure.</p>
    <h2>How the Renters' Rights Act Is Reshaping London's Market</h2>
    <p>Nearly five months on from the implementation of the Renters' Rights Act, JLL's Residential Rental Index&mdash;which monitors pricing trends and agent perspectives across Finsbury Park, Wood Green, Nine Elms, City, Canary Wharf, Greenwich, Stratford
        and Kew&mdash;reveals a market in good health.</p>
    <p>While 75% of residential offices reported a rise in landlord instructions over the past year, new applicant registrations also climbed in half of JLL's tracked locations. Strong demand, particularly during Q3, has meant that 75% of our residential
        offices have reported a decrease in the number of days properties are spending on the market.</p>
    <p>Summer months often command rental premiums however, a couple of factors have underpinned strong growth this quarter. Heightened student demand has been driven by higher university intake and overseas arrivals. Meanwhile, the Renter's Rights Act means
        that tenants able to hand notice on contracts, which previously may not have ended until later in the year, has meant stock has let earlier than usual, leaving dwindling supplies come the busy summer period.</p>
    <p><em>Figure 1: Market Sentiments-3 Months</em></p><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/jll-global-olm-np/image/upload/v1792130476/resi/gb/cms/News/Images/market_sentiments.png" />
    <h2>Rents Hit 11-Quarter High</h2>
    <p>JLL's residential offices posted some of their strongest quarterly rental growth figures during Q3 2026, with average rents climbing 2.7% - the highest increase we've seen in 11 consecutive quarters. But this headline figure masks a more complex story
        of how the trends are quietly reshaping market dynamics across the capital.</p>
    <p><em>Figure 2: Q3 Growth</em></p><iframe src="https://flo.uri.sh/visualisation/30589623/embed" title="Interactive or visual content" class="flourish-embed-iframe" frameborder="0" scrolling="no" style="width:100%;height:400px;" sandbox="allow-same-origin allow-forms allow-scripts allow-downloads allow-popups allow-popups-to-escape-sandbox allow-top-navigation-by-user-activation"></iframe>
    <p>Quarterly growth varied across locations, ranging from 1% to 4.4%. The City led the charge with the highest quarterly increase at 4.4%, followed by Stratford at 3.7% and Nine Elms at 3.3%. Meanwhile, Canary Wharf saw rental growth rebound from -2.1%
        last quarter to 2.3% this quarter.</p>
    <p>Year-on-year growth hit 4% in Q3 - the best performance in seven consecutive quarters and double last quarter's 2%. Annual growth ranged from 1.4% to an impressive 8.3%. Greenwich topped the list with sub-markets recording growth of 5% or more, followed
        by City and Nine Elms.</p>
    <p>Behind these numbers, the Renters' Rights Act has influenced higher asking rents, particularly in areas like Greenwich. Because the new legislation bans offers in excess of asking price, landlords are setting asking prices higher. This, coupled with
        the usual seasonal uptick in activity and a rise in the number of students looking for homes to rent has supported strong rental growth this quarter.</p>
    <p>The new legislation has also influenced levels of available stock. While some tenants used break clauses to move earlier in the year when demand was quieter, the market experienced a notable shift in inventory patterns. The classic supply squeeze,
        coupled with rising demand across summer, has put upward pressure on rents. Despite these seasonal pressures, the market is adjusting to the new regulatory framework, with landlords adjusting their strategies to maintain portfolio performance.</p>
</article>

London's Residential Rental Market: Strong growth supported by uptick in student demand and seasonal activity

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<h2>UK economy in better shape</h2>
<p>The feel-good factor continued with the Q2 GDP figures, published this week, which showed UK GDP rose by 0.5 per cent in the second quarter, 0.1 per cent higher than forecast. This means the UK saw the highest growth in the G7 in the first half of the
    year. Unfortunately, the outlook for H2 remains more downbeat, but until then it will be seen as a welcome boost in the run up to the Budget.</p>
<h2>More help to buy?</h2>
<p>Labour has promised full details of the Your First Home plan will be released in the October Budget &ndash; now less than four weeks away. However, what we know so far suggests it will enable purchasers in a position to source a 2.5 per cent deposit (alongside
    their buying and moving costs) to borrow an additional 20 per cent from government. Effectively meaning they can approach the market with a 22.5 per cent deposit to secure their first new build home. Like Help to Buy, this 20 per cent loan will be
    interest free for a set period before the government starts to charge interest, with borrowers having to repay the loan on sale. There have been no announcements yet on whether there will be a different deal for London &ndash; remember under Help
    to Buy London buyers could borrow 40 per cent rather than 20 per cent of the purchase price.</p>
<p>Burnham has promised this will be &lsquo;targeted&rsquo;, meaning we&rsquo;re expecting upper price thresholds and/or earning caps determining who can access the new scheme. The level at which these thresholds and caps are set will be fundamental to its
    success, particularly in markets like London where challenges around wage caps set at too low a level are already impacting shared ownership sales.</p><iframe src="https://flo.uri.sh/story/3829053/embed" title="Interactive or visual content" class="flourish-embed-iframe" frameborder="0" scrolling="no" style="width:100%;height:600px;" sandbox="allow-same-origin allow-forms allow-scripts allow-downloads allow-popups allow-popups-to-escape-sandbox allow-top-navigation-by-user-activation"></iframe>
<h2>So how many new homes could this deliver?</h2>
<p>Help to Buy isn&rsquo;t without its critics, but few will deny that it increased activity in the new homes market, something government needs if it is to deliver more homes at the end of the parliament than the start.</p>
<p>Over its ten-year life, Help to Buy loans were issued for 385,000 properties, of which 82 per cent were for homes bought by first time buyers. With the number of transactions using Help to Buy peaking at more than 55,000 per annum, equivalent to around
    a quarter of all new build sales. Of course these won&rsquo;t all have been additional sales, with a proportion of those who bought arguably still getting onto the housing ladder at some point, albeit possibly buying later.</p>
<p>Setting aside the various yet unanswered questions about the scheme, and assuming common sense prevails on caps and thresholds, eligibility and take up than Help to Buy suggests we could see up to 40,000 more new starts per annum once the scheme is up
    and running. Comparing the number of housing starts in the year post Help to Buy&rsquo;s inception shows a 31 per cent uptick, with a fall in starts of 23 per cent following the scheme winding up back in 2023.</p>
<h2>What about your next home?</h2>
<p>Your First Home bridges the gap for those buyers who have the income to purchase but don't have the means (or access to family support) to raise a deposit. If the scheme provides similar 31 per cent fillip for development, we'd still reach just 170,000
    starts based on current rates, far off the 300,000 let alone the 370,000 target for England.</p>
<p>However, the ongoing challenge of higher mortgage rates will curb enthusiasm and buying power across the market if they persist. Latest figures from the Bank of England show the impact of higher rates on the market, with average fixed rates on all outstanding
    mortgages&mdash;not just new lending&mdash;have risen to 4 per cent, their highest level since 2009 and double the figure five years ago. New lending figures are also being impacted by higher rates and rising uncertainty over the short-term outlook,
    with mortgage approvals falling to a 38-month low in August. The fewer than 55,000 deals approved down 15 per cent year-on-year. Remortgaging activity remains similarly subdued, with home movers unable to benefit from the Your First Home initiative.</p>
<h2>Other news from conference</h2>
<p>The Your First Home plan wasn't the only announcement to come out of the Labour Conference. Amongst a plethora of new plans, Burnham announced Labour's intention to end the triple lock by 2030. Hoping that a new Social Care Pledge will soften the blow
    for pensioners. The downgraded double lock proposes state pensions will rise by the higher of 2.5 per cent or inflation but will be decoupled from earnings. Rumours also persist around the High Value Council Tax Surcharge, with suggestions Healey
    could (and could is doing quite a bit of heavy lifting here) reduce the lower price threshold from &pound;2million to &pound;1.5 million. A move which could double the number of homes within scope.</p><iframe src="https://flo.uri.sh/story/3829570/embed" title="Interactive or visual content" class="flourish-embed-iframe" frameborder="0" scrolling="no" style="width:100%;height:600px;" sandbox="allow-same-origin allow-forms allow-scripts allow-downloads allow-popups allow-popups-to-escape-sandbox allow-top-navigation-by-user-activation"></iframe>
<h2>Queueing at the Gate(way)</h2>
<p>August marked 12 months since the establishment of the Innovation Unit set up to deal with new build 'high-risk' application. Since its inception median approval times for new build applications have fallen from 43 weeks to 22, with approval rates rising
    from 39 per cent to 92 per cent. Response times are still far off the 12-week target, but the improvement in response time will stand them in good stead as they brace for a flurry of applications in September (August already registered an uptick)
    with applicants keen to submit prior to the introduction of the Building Safety Levy on 1 October. For more information on the Levy please <a href="https://www.gov.uk/guidance/building-safety-levy-guidance/section-1-introduction" target="_blank">click here.</a></p>
<p
    style="font-size:15px;">JLL&rsquo;s Residential and Living team consists of over 300 professionals who provide a comprehensive end-to-end service across all residential property types, including social housing, private residential, build to rent, co-living, later living, healthcare
    and student housing.</p>
    <p><sup>Disclaimer: &copy; 2026 Jones Lang LaSalle IP, Inc. All rights reserved. Data within this report is based on material/sources that are deemed to be reliable and has not been independently verified by JLL. JLL makes no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness or suitability of the whole or any part of the report which has been produced solely as a general guide and does not constitute advice. No part of this publication may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means without prior written consent of JLL. JLL, its officers, employees shall not be liable for any loss, liability, damage or expense arising directly or indirectly from any use or disclosure of or reliance on such report. JLL reserves the right to pursue criminal and civil action for any unauthorized use, distribution or breach of such intellectual property</sup></p>

The Residential Roundup - October 2

Housebuilder share prices rallied this week after the announcement at the Labour Party Conference of the new Your First Home plan, effectively Help to Buy 2.0.

<strong>Housebuilder share prices rallied this week after the announcement at the Labour Party Conference of the new Your First Home plan, effectively Help to Buy 2.0. The UK's largest housebuilder Barratt Redrow saw its share price climb to the highest level since the Middle East conflict began in late February, up 40 per cent from its mid-May lows. This follows similar increases for Taylor Wimpey, Persimmon and Bellway.</strong>

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<article class="rba-rate-rise-content" data-sf-ec-immutable="">
    <div class="article-body">
        <p>Following a series of cuts throughout 2025 that provided relief to borrowers and stimulated the residential property market, the RBA announced on March 17th that the cash rate will increase from 3.85% to 4.10%. This decision comes as headline
            inflation rose to 3.8% in January 2026, with recent Middle East conflict driving substantial fuel price increases that may further contribute to inflationary pressures.</p>
        <p>Homeowners with variable rate mortgages can expect increased repayments, while first-home buyers face further deterioration in affordability as home-buying budgets are reduced. However, investors may benefit as rental demand strengthens when sales
            market affordability declines, with CPI rents often trending in parallel with the cash rate.</p>
        <p>Despite this rate increase, Australia's market fundamentals remain unchanged. Population growth, demographic changes, and chronic supply shortages continue to maintain pressure on prices in both sales and rental markets across Australian cities.
            The underlying strength in population growth and economic activity will continue to drive fundamental demand for housing, suggesting any softening in market activity may be temporary.</p>
        <div class="cta-section"><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/global-cms-assets-np/image/upload/v1773927466/resi/AU/Insights/2026.03.18_RBA_Announcement_Blog_v2.pdf" class="cta-link" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">Download the full RBA Rate Rise Market Analysis 📊</a>
        </div>
    </div>
</article>
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Reserve Bank of Australia Raises Cash Rate to 4.10%

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The Reserve Bank of Australia has raised the cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.10%, marking the second increase in just over a month as inflation pressures resurface.

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<p>Following the September meeting, the Monetary Policy Committee held the UK Bank Rate at 3.75 per cent, with the number of doves remaining at six and the hawks (favouring tighter economic policy and higher rates) at three. Despite the position remaining
    the same as at their last meeting, expectations of a rate hike, fuelled by comments from the Governor Andrew Bailey that &ldquo;policy may have to tighten&rdquo;, mean focus has now shifted to the next meeting (post-Budget) on 5th November. This all
    appears to leave the Bank of England as the outlier. But it is important to remember that the UK went into this at a different point in the rate-cutting cycle, with the differential between the UK and ECB rates widening since mid-2024 as they cut
    rates earlier.</p><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/jll-global-olm-np/image/upload/v1790070596/resi/gb/cms/News/Images/Slide1-_Residential_Roundup_-_18_September.png" /><sup>Source: Bank of England</sup>
<h2>Economy</h2>
<p>High oil and energy costs (both a global, not just local, issue) are feeding into higher inflation. The latest CPI figures show the annual rate rising from 2.9 per cent to 3.1 per cent. This wasn&rsquo;t a surprise for economists, but with inflation expected
    to exceed 4 per cent by early 2027, double the Bank&rsquo;s 2 per cent target, it cannot be as easily dismissed as the blip some had hoped for. </p>
<p>As a result, swaps and mortgage rates remain elevated. Moneyfacts figures show average rates on two-year fixes at 5.77 per cent, the highest since May, and five-year fixed rates reaching 5.83 per cent, a level not seen since November 2023.</p>
<p>But another announcement from the Bank of England, this time in relation to gilts, is more welcome. The announcement that the Bank will pause all bond sales for six months or more and hold onto some of its longest-dated gilts was welcomed by the markets.
    As a result, 30-year gilt yields fell 0.12 percentage points to reach 5.74 per cent, marking the best day for markets since May and some much-needed relief from higher borrowing costs </p>
<h2>Housing market</h2>
<p>Rents rose nationally by 3.8 per cent in the 12 months to August, the highest annual increase so far this year. All regional markets except the South East saw rents rise at rates above-inflation, with the North East and North West both recording the highest
    annual increase at 5.8 per cent. In the sales market, just two regions (North East and North West) saw above inflation increases, nationally, prices rose 1.4 per cent, with London and the South West both seeing price falls of -3.3 per cent and -0.2
    per cent respectively.</p><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/jll-global-olm-np/image/upload/v1790070596/resi/gb/cms/News/Images/Slide2-Residential_Roundup_-_18_September.png" /><sup>Source: JLL Research using HomeLet, ONS, Bank of England &ndash; assumes two-year fix at 75% LTV</sup>
<h2>Rent or buy?</h2>
<p>Higher mortgage costs mean that in pricier markets the difference in cost between buying and renting a home is increasing. In London, where almost a third of homes are rented privately, it would cost on average 9 per cent more to buy a home rather than
    rent, based on average values. This compares with the period pre-2022 when buying a home with a 75 per cent loan-to-value mortgage was broadly the same cost. While some buyers could in theory bridge the monthly cost gap to buy a home, the ability
    to save a deposit remains a significant barrier. The average deposit for those looking to put down 25 per cent would be almost &pound;139,000, the equivalent of saving more than five years&rsquo; rent. Even at a 10 per cent deposit, prospective buyers
    would need to save the equivalent of two years&rsquo; rent. </p>
<h2>Housebuilding</h2>
<p>Barratt Redrow, the UK&rsquo;s largest residential developer, has trimmed its annual completion target to 17,500&ndash;17,900 homes, down from earlier guidance of 17,700&ndash;18,200. This follows an improvement in housing delivery in the year to June,
    with 17,667 homes delivered, up 5 per cent on the previous 12-month period. Chief Executive David Thomas pointed to resource-strapped local authorities as one of the reasons behind their expectations of a reduction in output over the coming year,
    with site opening delays limiting the group to around 405 active developments this year. </p>
<p>The financials painted a mixed picture. Statutory pre-tax profit jumped 48 per cent to &pound;363.5m, but adjusted profit slipped 7 per cent to &pound;572.8m as construction costs climbed and house prices edged down roughly 1 per cent. Still, the adjusted
    profit figure beat analyst expectations, sending shares up 11.7 per cent.</p>
<p style="font-size:15px;">JLL&rsquo;s Residential and Living team consists of over 300 professionals who provide a comprehensive end-to-end service across all residential property types, including social housing, private residential, build to rent, co-living, later living, healthcare
    and student housing. </p>
<p><sup>Disclaimer: &copy; 2026 Jones Lang LaSalle IP, Inc. All rights reserved. Data within this report is based on material/sources that are deemed to be reliable and has not been independently verified by JLL. JLL makes no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness or suitability of the whole or any part of the report which has been produced solely as a general guide and does not constitute advice. No part of this publication may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means without prior written consent of JLL. JLL, its officers, employees shall not be liable for any loss, liability, damage or expense arising directly or indirectly from any use or disclosure of or reliance on such report. JLL reserves the right to pursue criminal and civil action for any unauthorized use, distribution or breach of such intellectual property</sup></p>

The Residential Roundup - 18 September

The Bank of Japan has raised interest rates to 1.25 per cent, a 31-year high. This follows similar moves from the Federal Reserve, which increased rates this week for the first time in more than three years, rising to 3.75 per cent to 4 per cent.

<strong>The Bank of Japan has raised interest rates to 1.25 per cent, a 31-year high. This follows similar moves from the Federal Reserve, which increased rates this week for the first time in more than three years, rising to 3.75 per cent to 4 per cent. The European Central Bank is in a hawkish mood too, increasing rates by 25 basis points at their September meeting, the second rate rise since June.</strong>

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<h3 class="featuredProperties__title"><span class="featuredProperties__title-featured typography-hero">Featured </span><span class="featuredProperties__title-project typography-hero"> properties </span></h3>

<h3 class="featuredProperties__title"><span class="featuredProperties__title-featured typography-hero">Featured </span><span class="featuredProperties__title-project typography-hero"> developments </span></h3>

<h3 class="featuredProperties__title"><span class="featuredProperties__title-featured typography-hero">Featured </span><span class="featuredProperties__title-project typography-hero"> resales</span></h3>

<h3 class="featuredProperties__title"><span class="featuredProperties__title-featured typography-hero">Featured </span><span class="featuredProperties__title-project typography-hero"> developments</span></h3>

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<p><strong>PRIVACY NOTICE</strong></p>
<p>Jones Lang LaSalle (JLL), together with its subsidiaries and affiliates, is a leading global provider of real estate and investment management services. We take our responsibility to protect the personal information provided to us seriously.</p>
<p>Generally the personal information we collect from you are for the purposes of dealing with your enquiry.</p>
<p>We endeavor to keep your personal information secure with appropriate level of security and keep for as long as we need it for legitimate business or legal reasons. We will then delete it safely and securely. For more information about how JLL processes
    your personal data, please view our <a href="https://www.jll.co.uk/en/privacy-statement" target="_blank">privacy statement</a>.</p>

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<p><strong>PRIVACY NOTICE</strong></p><p>Jones Lang LaSalle (JLL), together with its subsidiaries and affiliates, is a leading global provider of real estate and investment management services. We take our responsibility to protect the personal information provided to us seriously.</p><p>Generally the personal information we collect from you are for the purposes of dealing with your enquiry.</p><p>We endeavor to keep your personal information secure with appropriate level of security and keep for as long as we need it for legitimate business or legal reasons. We will then delete it safely and securely. For more information about how JLL processes your personal data, please view our&nbsp;<a href="https://www.jll.co.uk/en/privacy-statement" target="_blank">privacy statement</a>.</p>

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<p><strong></strong></p><p><strong>PRIVACY NOTICE</strong></p><p>Jones Lang LaSalle (JLL), together with its subsidiaries and affiliates, is a leading global provider of real estate and investment management services. We take our responsibility to protect the personal information provided to us seriously.</p><p>Generally the personal information we collect from you are for the purposes of dealing with your enquiry.</p><p>We endeavor to keep your personal information secure with appropriate level of security and keep for as long as we need it for legitimate business or legal reasons. We will then delete it safely and securely. For more information about how JLL processes your personal data, please view our&nbsp;<a href="https://www.jll.co.uk/en/privacy-statement" target="_blank">privacy statement</a>.</p><p>&nbsp;</p>

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<p>PRIVACY NOTICE</p><p>Jones Lang LaSalle (JLL), together with its subsidiaries and affiliates, is a leading global provider of real estate and investment management services. We take our responsibility to protect the personal information provided to us seriously.</p><p>Generally the personal information we collect from you are for the purposes of dealing with your enquiry.</p><p>We endeavor to keep your personal information secure with appropriate level of security and keep for as long as we need it for legitimate business or legal reasons. We will then delete it safely and securely. For more information about how JLL processes your personal data, please view our&nbsp;<a href="https://www.jll.co.uk/en/privacy-statement" target="_blank">privacy statement</a>.</p>

Property Enquiry

General Enquiry(DEPRECATED)

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